The Right Question

Horace Dediu wrote a piece on Tesla and SolarCity. He starts the article with a very simple explanation of what is meant by mergers, integrations, spinoffs and acquisitions.

A merger is the result of two entities in the same business joining forces. It is usually justified through “synergy”, a euphemism for removing redundancies from their unity. Arithmetically, the desired outcome is that the resulting organization should be smaller than the individual parts (which is desired if the available market is shrinking.)

An Integration is the answer to the question of “Why two companies in different businesses are better off together.” Arithmetically, it suggests that the proposed sum is greater than the individual parts.

The spin-off is the response to a situation where one company houses two unrelated businesses.

For completeness, we can define an acquisition as the purchase of an unequal entity in order to improve the value of the acquirer.

This explanation is extremely simple to understand from a strategy and markets point of view, a trademark of Horace's writing. He continues the article with the importance of questions.

Henry Ford asked, “What would enable everyone to have a car”. The result was  not a better car but a better production system.

Steve Jobs asked, “What would enable everyone to have a computer”. The result was not a faster computer, but a more approachable computer.

Akio Morita asked, “What would enable young people to have their own music”. The result was not a better audio quality but a smaller audio player.

Kiichiro Toyoda asked, “How can a car be built without faults”. The result was not a bigger factory but many smaller ones.

For Product Managers, this is a good way to crystallise your thinking around your product's strategy and positioning. What is the correct question for your product? Your answer defines your vision and identifies the strategy you need to get there. 

A similar approach is to focus on the "problem" part of the equation (customer, market, technology) and less on the "solution". 

Product Managers need to keep asking the right questions. Keep focusing on the problem. Right solutions and strategies emerge out of your answers to the right questions and problems.

Nietzsche and startups

A few days ago, I came across the following article on Nietzsche on Maria Popova's excellent brainpickings.org website -

https://www.brainpickings.org/2015/09/30/nietzsche-find-yourself-schopenhauer-as-educator/

The article quotes Nietzsche's essay "Schopenhauer as Educator", on how to bring forth our gifts and find ourselves. That to achieve true happiness, our soul needs to be unshackled from the chains of opinion and fear. He touches upon the role of our educators as liberators and how this helps us find purpose and happiness. The whole article is a wonderful read. Truly beautiful.

Read in another light, we can also use Nietzsche's advice for starting up new companies and building new products. For example, a perennial question facing many "to-be" entrepreneurs is when to start and what to work on. Here is some guiding light from Nietzsche on these two subjects -

“What have you truly loved thus far? What has ever uplifted your soul, what has dominated and delighted it at the same time?” Assemble these revered objects in a row before you and perhaps they will reveal a law by their nature and their order...

Any human being who does not wish to be part of the masses need only stop making things easy for himself. Let him follow his conscience, which calls out to him: “Be yourself! All that you are now doing, thinking, desiring, all that is not you.

Timeless advice can be applied to any problem, no matter what the field or times of the question. To find answers, you can rely on books, mentors and experts in your field of interest today.

Or you can seek guidance from the greats who have withstood the test of time and use their advice to build your own way forward.

No one can build you the bridge on which you, and only you, must cross the river of life. There may be countless trails and bridges and demigods who would gladly carry you across; but only at the price of pawning and forgoing yourself. There is one path in the world that none can walk but you. Where does it lead? Don’t ask, walk!

Beats with Apple

Apple's acquisition of Beats Music and Beats Electronics has perplexed the inter webs. Some say this is a clear indication that Apple's best days are over. Others say this is proof that Apple is getting smarter. Many have admitted that they have no idea why Apple would acquire Beats as there is nothing about Beats that Apple can't manage on its own. My perspective is a bit different. I looked at Apple's Press Release announcing the acquisition and their reason is clear.

"Apple® today announced it has agreed to acquire the critically acclaimed subscription streaming music service Beats Music, and Beats Electronics, which makes the popular Beats headphones, speakers and audio software…"

OK.  So you buy a company for $2.6 billion. What do you say when you announce the deal? Why you bought it, right?

Apple wants Beats for it's subscription service. Everything else is just icing. Beats Music is a very small part but gets the first mention in the press release. Ahead of the headphones, and ahead of Iovine.

Yes, there is $400 million more, but it vests over time, so relax.

No? Not convinced? Here is another example. This is the opening line in Satya Nadela's statement on the Microsoft - Nokia acquisition.

“Today we welcome the Nokia Devices and Services business to our family. The mobile capabilities and assets they bring will advance our transformation...”

It is clear why Apple bought Beats. They wanted a music subscription service. So they bought one. But can't Apple just build a service like Beats Music instead of spending the monies? Yeah, of course. Here are a few reasons they bought instead of built.

A stitch in time

Apple needs a music subscription service. The likes of Spotify and Pandora have proved there is a market. Apple's data shows that the "buy" music model is on a decline. Apple wants to retain its position as the top destination for Music lovers. And Apple has run the numbers. Such a service will work. Apple will give it prime real estate on the iOS home screen.

But Apple already has a brand in the music space, iTunes. And brand iTunes works not only for music, but also apps, movies, podcasts and much more.

If Apple has to enter the music as a subscription space, it needs a new brand. And Apple has to enter the music as a subscription space.

A good option

Beats Music was the only viable option for Apple. It is run by industry veterans and not software entrepreneurs. The founders understand the music business better than most and have connections inside the industry. The Beats Music service uses a personalization algorithm that is a mix of digital innovation and musical passion. 300 years of experience in the music industry comes with this acquisition. This rich team cannot be built just by snatching Jimmy Iovine and offering him a lucrative contract to bake this within iTunes. Plus, Beats has fantastic relationships with some of the big artists, a mandatory requirement after the Ping debacle.

A trojan horse

Whenever Apple is compared with Google, the following quote is never far behind in the discussion. That Google is getting better at design faster that Apple is getting better in services. Maps and mail are cited as proofs.

A new, independent brand will give Apple the flexibility to launch the service on Android and Windows. It will open the market and bring the Apple experience to many more users. Since the smartphone market is getting saturated quickly, growth can come only from customers jumping ship. What better way to start than with Music? Email and maps are covered. But Music is still wide open.

And the headphones? Yeah, they are important. They sell a lot and are profitable. Apple will shore up this part of Beats, and introduce another accessory for its devices. So there's that.

Most of the data and facts in this blog post come from Apple Press Release announcing the acquisition. Here it is.

Facebook buys WhatsApp

The big news this week was Facebook acquiring WhatsApp for a cool $19 billion dollars. That is $19,000,000,000. In full glory.

For perspective, it is exactly 19 times what Facebook paid for Instagram a while ago, or just a fraction of Facebook's current market cap. Whichever way you look at it.

Here is my take on the deal size.

Another way to look at this deal is to think that Facebook got a huge discount on WhatsApp valuation. WhatsApp would surely have gone public within the next few years and enjoy a market cap of at least $50 billion, if not more.

WhatsApp has got a lot of things going for it to support this kind of market valuation. Here are a few :-

  1. Crazy Growth : It has a huge reach with 450 million users. A good chunk of these are active every single day. And a million new users join the service everyday. This makes WhatsApp one of the fastest growing companies, ever. Pinterest who?
  2. Usage : People use WhatsApp on their mobile phones way more than any other app or service. As mobile phones take away more and more share of everyday time, this will only increase.
  3. Phone Numbers : The social graph at play in WhatsApp is already a validated and real graph. People join WhatsApp using their very real phone numbers. This social graph is as sticky as it gets.
  4. Opportunity : WhatsApp plays in the mobile messaging space, with data volumes rivaling telecom SMS traffic. As more users join the service and move to better phones, the volume of data will increase manifolds. All of this information put together, including text, voice, photos and videos, presents a treasure trove of information for an internet/mobile advertising company.

Facebook can become the Google Adwords of mobile, without selling a single ad on WhatsApp. All this data is golden for advertisers.

Considering these points, one can argue that WhatsApp got a fair price for what it has built and where it is today. Whether this price was fair for Facebook, only time will tell.

12 Pillars for Happiness!

In the month of December, I had the privilege of visiting Indian Institute of Management (Bangalore) for attending a 5 day residential leadership program. Needless to say, it was absolutely brilliant. After 10 years in the corporate world, the academic program was a breath of fresh air and revitalized me and most of my fellow participants. We had a range of sessions in the program, covering the topics of Corporate Entrepreneurship, Personal and Interpersonal Effectiveness, Leadership, Strategy, Branding, Execution, Negotiating etc.

In one of the sessions, we had a spirited discussion on Happiness & Passion. Our faculty for the session, DVR Seshadri, gave us the following 12 pillars for achieving happiness :-

  • Rise to your full potential
  • Set your own metric for success
  • Give rather than take
  • The only reality is now
  • This phase will also pass
  • Have an attitude of gratitude
  • Everything happens for good
  • The last shirt has no pocket
  • Strive for balance
  • Respond, not react
  • What we know is a small part of what exists
  • Change, and the world around you changes

These are the 12 pillars for a happy life for your body, mind, heart, soul & intellect, based on the foundation of your core values.

Brilliant!

Invictus!

(A little bit of inspiration for all of us from William Ernest Henley) Out of the night that covers me, Black as the Pit from pole to pole, I thank whatever gods may be For my unconquerable soul.

In the fell clutch of circumstance I have not winced nor cried aloud. Under the bludgeonings of chance My head is bloody, but unbowed.

Beyond this place of wrath and tears Looms but the Horror of the shade, And yet the menace of the years Finds, and shall find, me unafraid.

It matters not how strait the gate, How charged with punishments the scroll. I am the master of my fate I am the captain of my soul.

William Ernest Henley

Shining eyes!

How do we define success? Ben tells us that the definition of success is not about wealth, fame or fortune. Its about the shining eyes. Find below an amazing talk given by Benjamin Zander. It taught me a lot in a mere 20 minutes than all I have learned till date from my education, my books, music and you.

It teaches us about passion, leadership & motivation. It talks about contributions and conversations.About thinking big. About loss and dreams.

And, most important thing he tells us is to make somebody's eyes shine today. The true measure of your effect on this world and everybody around you is the shine in there eyes, and nothing else!

Thanks Chopin & thanks Ben!

Cover to cover...

Google, Amazon, Wikipedia, YouTube, Flickr, Facebook, Yahoo, Twitter, Myspace, Wordpress, LinkedIn, Skype, Netflix, Craigslist etc etc... The list of successful products on the web is huge, but what will be the next big thing?

Given above is the table of Top 10 sites for the month of October 2009 in terms of unique visitors (Source : compete.com). Lets see if we can get some pointers from this table.

Google, Yahoo, MSN, Live, Wikipedia provide answers to questions, give information, provide relevance and authenticity and are a generic starting point for our online endeavors.

Facebook is our online network of friends. Youtube solves the need of video in our lives. Amazon is a bookstore and ebay is an auction house, only bigger, better and far more democratic.

And of course, Microsoft had a bigger hand than most in making all of this possible. You can go on and map most of the items on the first list with what we do, or used to do in our daily lives before it became digital, networked, interconnected and mobile.

Friends, Family, Pictures, Audio, Video, Entertainment, Voice, Encyclopedias, Music, Auctions, Classifieds, Conversations, SMS, Business & Productivity Applications, Movies, Bookstores etc etc...

However, books still remain in a cocoon. You can get them delivered to your door step, read or write one online, but for the most part, books still remain analog and disconnected from the rest of what we are up to.

The wealth of information and the strong foothold books have in our lives cannot be ignored.

eBook readers, especially Kindle and Nook as well as things like Google Books, are steps in the right direction. For example, the need to have books in the traditional medium of paper is going to go away soon. The barrier to entry (actually holding a book or having access to it) is going to dissolve.

Information already available in existing books will become more and more accessible. Contents from books will start showing up in our searches. Authority on subjects and topics will become referenced. But most important of all, the true potential of this traditional and age old habit of human beings will be brought to the forefront, just like search, music, entertainment and news.

This place is only going to become hotter, more competitive and digitally networked as we move ahead. But what about Newspapers & TV? Lets discuss next time...